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政治·主要

密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for 密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

約翰·詹姆斯 45%

佩里·約翰遜 43%

Mike Cox 7.9%

喬伊斯·吉普森 4.7%

Polymarket

$34,956 交易量

約翰·詹姆斯 45%

佩里·約翰遜 43%

Mike Cox 7.9%

喬伊斯·吉普森 4.7%

Polymarket

$34,956 交易量

約翰·詹姆斯

$11,174 交易量

45%

佩里·約翰遜

$11,760 交易量

43%

Mike Cox

$3,715 交易量

8%

喬伊斯·吉普森

$739 交易量

5%

安東尼·哈德森

$1,067 交易量

2%

阿里克·內斯比特

$1,619 交易量

1%

卡拉·瓦格納

$786 交易量

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$965 交易量

<1%

湯姆·倫納德

$1,377 交易量

<1%

威廉·納爾

$862 交易量

<1%

伊文·史派斯

$893 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Representative John James holds a modest edge over businessman Perry Johnson in the Republican primary for Michigan governor, reflecting James’s established name recognition from prior statewide runs and his current congressional role. Recent Detroit Regional Chamber polling shows James ahead by double digits among likely primary voters, though earlier surveys indicated a statistical tie with high undecided shares, while Johnson has poured millions into advertising without fully closing the gap. Dueling challenges to both candidates’ nominating petitions, filed in early May, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the August 4 ballot deadline, and minor candidates like former Attorney General Mike Cox trail significantly. Trader consensus appears driven by these polling trends and legal developments that could influence voter turnout and ballot access in the final months.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$34,956
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Representative John James holds a modest edge over businessman Perry Johnson in the Republican primary for Michigan governor, reflecting James’s established name recognition from prior statewide runs and his current congressional role. Recent Detroit Regional Chamber polling shows James ahead by double digits among likely primary voters, though earlier surveys indicated a statistical tie with high undecided shares, while Johnson has poured millions into advertising without fully closing the gap. Dueling challenges to both candidates’ nominating petitions, filed in early May, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the August 4 ballot deadline, and minor candidates like former Attorney General Mike Cox trail significantly. Trader consensus appears driven by these polling trends and legal developments that could influence voter turnout and ballot access in the final months.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$34,956
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·詹姆斯" at 46%, followed by "佩里·約翰遜" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $35K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "約翰·詹姆斯" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "佩里·約翰遜" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.