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icon for 密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?

密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?

icon for 密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?

密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?

35% 機率
Polymarket
最新

35% 機率
Polymarket
最新
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
交易量
$10
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
交易量
$10
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).

警惕外部連結哦。

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"密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "密蘇里通過投票措施,禁止墮胎和未成年人變性手術?" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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The current frontrunner for "密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?" is "密蘇里通過投票措施,禁止墮胎和未成年人變性手術?" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密蘇裏州通過了禁止墮胎和未成年跨性別手術的選票法案?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.