Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$238,975 交易量
$238,975 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$238,975 交易量
$238,975 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
市場開放時間： Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
交易量
$238,975結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
交易量
$238,975結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions