**Perplexity’s CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed a 2028 IPO target, with no S-1 filing or acceleration signals as of September 2026.** This stance, reiterated in June interviews amid OpenAI and Anthropic’s confidential filings, positions the company to observe how larger AI listings perform, extend its revenue track record, and avoid rushing into a potentially volatile market. Traders have assigned 63% implied probability to “No IPO before 2028,” reflecting the explicit timeline and absence of contrary developments. Perplexity’s last confirmed priced round valued it near $20 billion (September 2025), with secondary and tracker marks around $21–23 billion into 2026 and reported talks of a potential $30 billion-plus round involving Nvidia. Annualized recurring revenue has grown rapidly to roughly $500–750 million, supported by product expansions such as its Comet browser and agent tools. Strong private-market interest and continued fundraising reduce pressure for an earlier public debut. The remaining probability mass is spread thinly across post-IPO market-cap buckets because an IPO before 2028 remains unlikely. Modest odds on lower ranges (e.g., <20B at 8%) align with the company’s current private valuation if it were to list sooner than planned, while higher ranges carry even lower weight absent near-term catalysts. Key upcoming signals include any updates on the potential Nvidia-led round, further revenue milestones, or shifts in AI-sector IPO reception, though none have yet altered the 2028 commitment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於困惑IPO收市市值
困惑IPO收市市值
2028年前不上市 63%
低於 200 億 8.0%
500 億–750 億 7.0%
750 億–1,000 億 5.9%
$148,080 交易量
$148,080 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 200 億
8%
200億–300億
5%
300 億–400 億
5%
400 億—500 億
2%
500 億–750 億
7%
750 億–1,000 億
6%
1000 億+
4%
2028年前不上市
63%
2028年前不上市 63%
低於 200 億 8.0%
500 億–750 億 7.0%
750 億–1,000 億 5.9%
$148,080 交易量
$148,080 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 200 億
$4,922 交易量
8%
200億–300億
$7,945 交易量
5%
300 億–400 億
$5,001 交易量
5%
400 億—500 億
$4,638 交易量
2%
500 億–750 億
$6,936 交易量
7%
750 億–1,000 億
$4,090 交易量
6%
1000 億+
$5,440 交易量
4%
2028年前不上市
$109,108 交易量
63%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Perplexity’s CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed a 2028 IPO target, with no S-1 filing or acceleration signals as of September 2026.** This stance, reiterated in June interviews amid OpenAI and Anthropic’s confidential filings, positions the company to observe how larger AI listings perform, extend its revenue track record, and avoid rushing into a potentially volatile market. Traders have assigned 63% implied probability to “No IPO before 2028,” reflecting the explicit timeline and absence of contrary developments.
Perplexity’s last confirmed priced round valued it near $20 billion (September 2025), with secondary and tracker marks around $21–23 billion into 2026 and reported talks of a potential $30 billion-plus round involving Nvidia. Annualized recurring revenue has grown rapidly to roughly $500–750 million, supported by product expansions such as its Comet browser and agent tools. Strong private-market interest and continued fundraising reduce pressure for an earlier public debut.
The remaining probability mass is spread thinly across post-IPO market-cap buckets because an IPO before 2028 remains unlikely. Modest odds on lower ranges (e.g., <20B at 8%) align with the company’s current private valuation if it were to list sooner than planned, while higher ranges carry even lower weight absent near-term catalysts. Key upcoming signals include any updates on the potential Nvidia-led round, further revenue milestones, or shifts in AI-sector IPO reception, though none have yet altered the 2028 commitment.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$148,080結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Perplexity’s CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed a 2028 IPO target, with no S-1 filing or acceleration signals as of September 2026.** This stance, reiterated in June interviews amid OpenAI and Anthropic’s confidential filings, positions the company to observe how larger AI listings perform, extend its revenue track record, and avoid rushing into a potentially volatile market. Traders have assigned 63% implied probability to “No IPO before 2028,” reflecting the explicit timeline and absence of contrary developments.
Perplexity’s last confirmed priced round valued it near $20 billion (September 2025), with secondary and tracker marks around $21–23 billion into 2026 and reported talks of a potential $30 billion-plus round involving Nvidia. Annualized recurring revenue has grown rapidly to roughly $500–750 million, supported by product expansions such as its Comet browser and agent tools. Strong private-market interest and continued fundraising reduce pressure for an earlier public debut.
The remaining probability mass is spread thinly across post-IPO market-cap buckets because an IPO before 2028 remains unlikely. Modest odds on lower ranges (e.g., <20B at 8%) align with the company’s current private valuation if it were to list sooner than planned, while higher ranges carry even lower weight absent near-term catalysts. Key upcoming signals include any updates on the potential Nvidia-led round, further revenue milestones, or shifts in AI-sector IPO reception, though none have yet altered the 2028 commitment.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$148,080結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET**Perplexity’s CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed a 2028 IPO target, with no S-1 filing or acceleration signals as of September 2026.** This stance, reiterated in June interviews amid OpenAI and Anthropic’s confidential filings, positions the company to observe how larger AI listings perform, extend its revenue track record, and avoid rushing into a potentially volatile market. Traders have assigned 63% implied probability to “No IPO before 2028,” reflecting the explicit timeline and absence of contrary developments. Perplexity’s last confirmed priced round valued it near $20 billion (September 2025), with secondary and tracker marks around $21–23 billion into 2026 and reported talks of a potential $30 billion-plus round involving Nvidia. Annualized recurring revenue has grown rapidly to roughly $500–750 million, supported by product expansions such as its Comet browser and agent tools. Strong private-market interest and continued fundraising reduce pressure for an earlier public debut. The remaining probability mass is spread thinly across post-IPO market-cap buckets because an IPO before 2028 remains unlikely. Modest odds on lower ranges (e.g., <20B at 8%) align with the company’s current private valuation if it were to list sooner than planned, while higher ranges carry even lower weight absent near-term catalysts. Key upcoming signals include any updates on the potential Nvidia-led round, further revenue milestones, or shifts in AI-sector IPO reception, though none have yet altered the 2028 commitment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions