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icon for 祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名

祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名

icon for 祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名

祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名

Jorge Nieto 100.0%

藤森惠子 <1%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 <1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 <1%

Polymarket

$475,801 交易量

Jorge Nieto 100.0%

藤森惠子 <1%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 <1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 <1%

Polymarket

$475,801 交易量

icon for 藤森惠子

藤森惠子

$2,042 交易量

icon for 卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$5,121 交易量

icon for 阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$9,067 交易量

icon for 何塞·盧納

何塞·盧納

$856 交易量

icon for 羅貝托·奇亞布拉

羅貝托·奇亞布拉

$1,116 交易量

icon for 何塞·威廉斯

何塞·威廉斯

$6,181 交易量

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$228,239 交易量

icon for 卡洛斯·埃斯帕

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$3,676 交易量

icon for 榮希·雷斯卡諾

榮希·雷斯卡諾

$2,679 交易量

icon for 馬里索爾·佩雷斯·特略

馬里索爾·佩雷斯·特略

$2,795 交易量

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$60,466 交易量

icon for 拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

$52,751 交易量

icon for 馬里奧·維茲卡拉

馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$3,346 交易量

icon for 塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$4,811 交易量

icon for 弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$3,610 交易量

icon for 喬治·福賽斯

喬治·福賽斯

$4,353 交易量

icon for 恩里克·瓦爾德拉瑪

恩里克·瓦爾德拉瑪

$7,705 交易量

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$4,206 交易量

icon for 費爾南多·奧利維拉

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$3,768 交易量

icon for 拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·略薩

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·略薩

$3,658 交易量

icon for 梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$4,351 交易量

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$56,767 交易量

icon for 沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$4,238 交易量

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto's commanding position in the Peru presidential election first-round 4th-place market stems from the April 12, 2026, vote tallies showing him finishing behind Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez, and Rafael López Aliaga in a field of 35 candidates that produced extreme fragmentation. As former defense and culture minister with a centrist profile under the Partido del Buen Gobierno, Nieto secured consistent mid-teens support in pre-election polling and early counts, outpacing other contenders through established name recognition and policy emphasis on governance reforms. With over 99% of ballots now tallied by the National Office of Electoral Processes, the outcome appears locked barring any unforeseen recount adjustments or legal challenges to the final certification expected in the coming days.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$475,801
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto's commanding position in the Peru presidential election first-round 4th-place market stems from the April 12, 2026, vote tallies showing him finishing behind Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez, and Rafael López Aliaga in a field of 35 candidates that produced extreme fragmentation. As former defense and culture minister with a centrist profile under the Partido del Buen Gobierno, Nieto secured consistent mid-teens support in pre-election polling and early counts, outpacing other contenders through established name recognition and policy emphasis on governance reforms. With over 99% of ballots now tallied by the National Office of Electoral Processes, the outcome appears locked barring any unforeseen recount adjustments or legal challenges to the final certification expected in the coming days.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$475,801
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jorge Nieto" at 100%, followed by "藤森惠子" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名" has generated $475.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名" is "Jorge Nieto" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "藤森惠子" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪:第四名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.