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icon for 普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

icon for 普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

12月 31

12月 31

99% 機率
Polymarket

$11,055 交易量

99% 機率
Polymarket

$11,055 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level engagement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, including their September 1 meeting on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek, has solidified trader expectations of further bilateral contact before year-end. Russia and Iran maintain a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty emphasizing energy, trade, transport, and military-technical cooperation, with regular diplomatic exchanges and joint commissions reinforcing ties amid regional tensions. Multiple prior meetings and phone calls this year demonstrate consistent access between the leaders and their officials. While the near-certain consensus reflects this established pattern, developments such as abrupt escalations in external conflicts, health-related cancellations, or shifts in third-party diplomatic pressures could theoretically alter scheduling within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,055
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level engagement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, including their September 1 meeting on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek, has solidified trader expectations of further bilateral contact before year-end. Russia and Iran maintain a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty emphasizing energy, trade, transport, and military-technical cooperation, with regular diplomatic exchanges and joint commissions reinforcing ties amid regional tensions. Multiple prior meetings and phone calls this year demonstrate consistent access between the leaders and their officials. While the near-certain consensus reflects this established pattern, developments such as abrupt escalations in external conflicts, health-related cancellations, or shifts in third-party diplomatic pressures could theoretically alter scheduling within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,055
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "普京是否會在12月31日之前會見伊朗官員?" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" is "普京是否會在12月31日之前會見伊朗官員?" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.