Vladimir Putin’s fifth presidential term, secured in the 2024 election and extending to 2030 under 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits, forms the core structural barrier to any leadership change by December 31, 2026. Trader consensus at 88.5% for “No” reflects the absence of verifiable elite fractures, health crises, or institutional challenges over the past month, reinforced by his May 9 Victory Day address projecting continuity while signaling potential de-escalation in Ukraine. Heightened Kremlin security protocols earlier in May have produced no confirmed plots, and ongoing parliamentary support plus control of security services further entrench his position. No scheduled elections, votes of no confidence, or diplomatic summits within the resolution window currently threaten this stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s fifth presidential term, secured in the 2024 election and extending to 2030 under 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits, forms the core structural barrier to any leadership change by December 31, 2026. Trader consensus at 88.5% for “No” reflects the absence of verifiable elite fractures, health crises, or institutional challenges over the past month, reinforced by his May 9 Victory Day address projecting continuity while signaling potential de-escalation in Ukraine. Heightened Kremlin security protocols earlier in May have produced no confirmed plots, and ongoing parliamentary support plus control of security services further entrench his position. No scheduled elections, votes of no confidence, or diplomatic summits within the resolution window currently threaten this stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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