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政治·Bolojan

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？

icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？
政治·Bolojan

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？

$111,774 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$111,774 交易量

Polymarket

August 31

$188 交易量

8%

December 31

$5 交易量

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's ongoing political impasse, stemming from the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition, remains the central driver of trader focus on potential parliamentary dissolution. The Social Democratic Party's April exit from the grand coalition and subsequent alliance with the far-right AUR party fragmented parliament, leading to the June rejection of Adrian Veștea's cabinet short of the 233-vote majority required. Under constitutional rules, President Nicușor Dan can dissolve parliament and trigger snap elections if two successive prime minister-designates fail to secure confidence within a 60-day window. As of mid-August 2026, repeated attempts to assemble a stable majority have stalled amid party fragmentation, with parliament in summer recess and no resolution in sight before scheduled 2028 elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$111,774
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's ongoing political impasse, stemming from the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition, remains the central driver of trader focus on potential parliamentary dissolution. The Social Democratic Party's April exit from the grand coalition and subsequent alliance with the far-right AUR party fragmented parliament, leading to the June rejection of Adrian Veștea's cabinet short of the 233-vote majority required. Under constitutional rules, President Nicușor Dan can dissolve parliament and trigger snap elections if two successive prime minister-designates fail to secure confidence within a 60-day window. As of mid-August 2026, repeated attempts to assemble a stable majority have stalled amid party fragmentation, with parliament in summer recess and no resolution in sight before scheduled 2028 elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$111,774
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 26%, followed by "August 31" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？" has generated $111.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？" is "December 31" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.