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政治·Bolojan

羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？

icon for 羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？
政治·Bolojan

羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？

是

9% 機率
Polymarket

$52,351 交易量

是

9% 機率
Polymarket

$52,351 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. President Nicușor Dan has initiated consultations with parliamentary parties following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU minority government by a 281-4 margin, with Social Democrats joining far-right AUR amid austerity backlash. On May 12, Dan indicated he may nominate a new prime minister candidate as early as the following week, prioritizing coalition rebuilding to avert instability. Traders' 90.5% implied probability on "No" dissolution by July 31 reflects this procedural momentum under Romania's constitution, where parliament dissolves only after two failed investiture votes—a threshold unmet historically, as next elections are slated for 2028 and pro-European forces seek fiscal continuity for EU funds. Late-breaking deadlocks could shift odds, but current talks signal stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$52,351
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. President Nicușor Dan has initiated consultations with parliamentary parties following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU minority government by a 281-4 margin, with Social Democrats joining far-right AUR amid austerity backlash. On May 12, Dan indicated he may nominate a new prime minister candidate as early as the following week, prioritizing coalition rebuilding to avert instability. Traders' 90.5% implied probability on "No" dissolution by July 31 reflects this procedural momentum under Romania's constitution, where parliament dissolves only after two failed investiture votes—a threshold unmet historically, as next elections are slated for 2028 and pro-European forces seek fiscal continuity for EU funds. Late-breaking deadlocks could shift odds, but current talks signal stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$52,351
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅馬尼亞議會將於7月31日前解散嗎？" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" has generated $52.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" is "羅馬尼亞議會將於7月31日前解散嗎？" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.