The fragmented field of ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested among traders. Recent candidate registrations and July polling from institutes such as Phoenix and Real Time Big Data show Sílvia Cristina, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered near the top, with single-digit gaps separating them and lower support for Acir Gurgacz, Aires Mota, and others. Incumbent dynamics, party alliances, and regional voter bases in the state contribute to the dispersion, while the absence of a clear frontrunner for runner-up status sustains broad pricing near or below 35 percent for leading names. Scheduled campaign activities, new surveys, and potential late alliances before the October 4 first-round vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 30%
Sílvia Cristina 29%
Mariana Carvalho 18%
Aires Mota 14%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
30%

Sílvia Cristina
29%

Mariana Carvalho
18%

Aires Mota
14%

Acir Gurgacz
13%

Engenheiro Thulio
12%

Luciana Oliveira
9%

Neidinha
8%

Luis Fernando
6%

Dr. Fernando Máximo
6%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 30%
Sílvia Cristina 29%
Mariana Carvalho 18%
Aires Mota 14%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
30%

Sílvia Cristina
29%

Mariana Carvalho
18%

Aires Mota
14%

Acir Gurgacz
13%

Engenheiro Thulio
12%

Luciana Oliveira
9%

Neidinha
8%

Luis Fernando
6%

Dr. Fernando Máximo
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested among traders. Recent candidate registrations and July polling from institutes such as Phoenix and Real Time Big Data show Sílvia Cristina, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered near the top, with single-digit gaps separating them and lower support for Acir Gurgacz, Aires Mota, and others. Incumbent dynamics, party alliances, and regional voter bases in the state contribute to the dispersion, while the absence of a clear frontrunner for runner-up status sustains broad pricing near or below 35 percent for leading names. Scheduled campaign activities, new surveys, and potential late alliances before the October 4 first-round vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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