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icon for 朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名

朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名

朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 30%

Sílvia Cristina 29%

Mariana Carvalho 18%

Aires Mota 14%

Polymarket
最新

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 30%

Sílvia Cristina 29%

Mariana Carvalho 18%

Aires Mota 14%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$221 交易量

30%

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$1,483 交易量

29%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$40 交易量

18%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$40 交易量

14%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$40 交易量

13%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$40 交易量

12%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$40 交易量

9%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$40 交易量

8%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$40 交易量

6%

icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$40 交易量

6%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested among traders. Recent candidate registrations and July polling from institutes such as Phoenix and Real Time Big Data show Sílvia Cristina, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered near the top, with single-digit gaps separating them and lower support for Acir Gurgacz, Aires Mota, and others. Incumbent dynamics, party alliances, and regional voter bases in the state contribute to the dispersion, while the absence of a clear frontrunner for runner-up status sustains broad pricing near or below 35 percent for leading names. Scheduled campaign activities, new surveys, and potential late alliances before the October 4 first-round vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,024
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested among traders. Recent candidate registrations and July polling from institutes such as Phoenix and Real Time Big Data show Sílvia Cristina, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered near the top, with single-digit gaps separating them and lower support for Acir Gurgacz, Aires Mota, and others. Incumbent dynamics, party alliances, and regional voter bases in the state contribute to the dispersion, while the absence of a clear frontrunner for runner-up status sustains broad pricing near or below 35 percent for leading names. Scheduled campaign activities, new surveys, and potential late alliances before the October 4 first-round vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,024
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid" at 30%, followed by "Sílvia Cristina" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名" is "Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sílvia Cristina" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "朗多尼亞參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.