United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯（ER） 96.0%
新人物黨（NL） 2.3%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 1.0%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） <1%
$1,353,693 交易量
$1,353,693 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯（ER）
96%
新人物黨（NL）
2%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
1%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
<1%
公正俄羅斯－為了真理黨（SRZP）
<1%
羅迪納
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
統一俄羅斯（ER） 96.0%
新人物黨（NL） 2.3%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 1.0%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） <1%
$1,353,693 交易量
$1,353,693 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯（ER）
$522,508 交易量
96%
新人物黨（NL）
$80,975 交易量
2%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
$104,887 交易量
1%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
$79,727 交易量
<1%
公正俄羅斯－為了真理黨（SRZP）
$229,562 交易量
<1%
羅迪納
$222,757 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$113,277 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,353,693結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$1,353,693結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions