Ted Cruz’s established pattern as one of Congress’s highest-volume X users underpins the 56% probability on 140-159 posts for the August 14-21 window. Historical data from congressional tracking shows him averaging thousands of posts annually through commentary on legislation, foreign policy, and partisan debates, producing steady daily output even on weekends. Recent activity through August 17 includes multiple replies and original posts on topics such as Michigan politics and security concerns, consistent with his baseline cadence. With four days remaining, traders price the narrow band around his observed weekly norms, while lower-probability ranges reflect potential variance from breaking news or travel. No major disruptions to his posting schedule have emerged in the resolution period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ted Cruz # posts 2026年8月14日至8月21日？
Ted Cruz # posts 2026年8月14日至8月21日？
140-159 58%
120-139 19%
160-179 18%
180-199 6.0%
$11,913 交易量
$11,913 交易量
2026-08-21
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
4%
100-119
5%
120-139
19%
140-159
58%
160-179
18%
180-199
6%
200+
2%
140-159 58%
120-139 19%
160-179 18%
180-199 6.0%
$11,913 交易量
$11,913 交易量
2026-08-21
40-59
$399 交易量
<1%
60-79
$185 交易量
<1%
80-99
$413 交易量
4%
100-119
$1,161 交易量
5%
120-139
$1,335 交易量
19%
140-159
$3,494 交易量
58%
160-179
$2,045 交易量
18%
180-199
$667 交易量
6%
200+
$832 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s established pattern as one of Congress’s highest-volume X users underpins the 56% probability on 140-159 posts for the August 14-21 window. Historical data from congressional tracking shows him averaging thousands of posts annually through commentary on legislation, foreign policy, and partisan debates, producing steady daily output even on weekends. Recent activity through August 17 includes multiple replies and original posts on topics such as Michigan politics and security concerns, consistent with his baseline cadence. With four days remaining, traders price the narrow band around his observed weekly norms, while lower-probability ranges reflect potential variance from breaking news or travel. No major disruptions to his posting schedule have emerged in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$11,913結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s established pattern as one of Congress’s highest-volume X users underpins the 56% probability on 140-159 posts for the August 14-21 window. Historical data from congressional tracking shows him averaging thousands of posts annually through commentary on legislation, foreign policy, and partisan debates, producing steady daily output even on weekends. Recent activity through August 17 includes multiple replies and original posts on topics such as Michigan politics and security concerns, consistent with his baseline cadence. With four days remaining, traders price the narrow band around his observed weekly norms, while lower-probability ranges reflect potential variance from breaking news or travel. No major disruptions to his posting schedule have emerged in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,913結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ted Cruz’s established pattern as one of Congress’s highest-volume X users underpins the 56% probability on 140-159 posts for the August 14-21 window. Historical data from congressional tracking shows him averaging thousands of posts annually through commentary on legislation, foreign policy, and partisan debates, producing steady daily output even on weekends. Recent activity through August 17 includes multiple replies and original posts on topics such as Michigan politics and security concerns, consistent with his baseline cadence. With four days remaining, traders price the narrow band around his observed weekly norms, while lower-probability ranges reflect potential variance from breaking news or travel. No major disruptions to his posting schedule have emerged in the resolution period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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