Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of mid-September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 42%. A modest rebound from late-August lows has followed the Republican midterm convention, where Trump outlined policy priorities, though disapproval remains above 55% across most trackers. Persistent economic headwinds tied to the ongoing Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader inflation concerns, continue to weigh on sentiment. With the September 18 measurement window now two days away, the clustering of market probabilities around 38.0–38.9 reflects the stability of these recent readings and the limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major new developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於38.5–38.9 43%
38.0–38.4 29%
37.5–37.9 18%
39.0以上 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
低於37.0
2%
37.0–37.4
6%
37.5–37.9
18%
38.0–38.4
29%
38.5–38.9
43%
39.0以上
9%
38.5–38.9 43%
38.0–38.4 29%
37.5–37.9 18%
39.0以上 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
低於37.0
$308 交易量
2%
37.0–37.4
$133 交易量
6%
37.5–37.9
$543 交易量
18%
38.0–38.4
$555 交易量
29%
38.5–38.9
$634 交易量
43%
39.0以上
$274 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of mid-September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 42%. A modest rebound from late-August lows has followed the Republican midterm convention, where Trump outlined policy priorities, though disapproval remains above 55% across most trackers. Persistent economic headwinds tied to the ongoing Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader inflation concerns, continue to weigh on sentiment. With the September 18 measurement window now two days away, the clustering of market probabilities around 38.0–38.9 reflects the stability of these recent readings and the limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major new developments.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$2,447結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of mid-September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 42%. A modest rebound from late-August lows has followed the Republican midterm convention, where Trump outlined policy priorities, though disapproval remains above 55% across most trackers. Persistent economic headwinds tied to the ongoing Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader inflation concerns, continue to weigh on sentiment. With the September 18 measurement window now two days away, the clustering of market probabilities around 38.0–38.9 reflects the stability of these recent readings and the limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major new developments.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$2,447結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETRecent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of mid-September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 42%. A modest rebound from late-August lows has followed the Republican midterm convention, where Trump outlined policy priorities, though disapproval remains above 55% across most trackers. Persistent economic headwinds tied to the ongoing Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader inflation concerns, continue to weigh on sentiment. With the September 18 measurement window now two days away, the clustering of market probabilities around 38.0–38.9 reflects the stability of these recent readings and the limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major new developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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