Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released mid-April 2026, has surged to the top of Arena.ai leaderboards across text, coding, simulations, and gaming domains—peaking at 1611 Elo in gaming—driving trader consensus on its frontier large language model dominance through superior reasoning and consistency. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High remains competitive in expert tasks and math benchmarks, while xAI's Grok 4.20 shines in creative writing, and Chinese challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 push open-source boundaries. With six weeks to June 30 resolution on the primary Chatbot Arena leaderboard, sentiment hinges on potential unreleased models from OpenAI or xAI, developer conferences, and benchmark volatility that could flip rankings rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,556,812 交易量
2026-06-30
OpenAI
11%
Mistral
9%
xAI
6%
Meta
5%
百度
3%
Z.ai
3%
DeepSeek
2%
阿里巴巴
2%
美團
1%
Nvidia
<1%
$1,556,812 交易量
OpenAI
$405,880 交易量
11%
Mistral
$13,187 交易量
9%
xAI
$555,995 交易量
6%
Meta
$15,360 交易量
5%
百度
$3,154 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$10,160 交易量
3%
DeepSeek
$275,002 交易量
2%
阿里巴巴
$10,627 交易量
2%
美團
$3,056 交易量
1%
Nvidia
$6,421 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released mid-April 2026, has surged to the top of Arena.ai leaderboards across text, coding, simulations, and gaming domains—peaking at 1611 Elo in gaming—driving trader consensus on its frontier large language model dominance through superior reasoning and consistency. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High remains competitive in expert tasks and math benchmarks, while xAI's Grok 4.20 shines in creative writing, and Chinese challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 push open-source boundaries. With six weeks to June 30 resolution on the primary Chatbot Arena leaderboard, sentiment hinges on potential unreleased models from OpenAI or xAI, developer conferences, and benchmark volatility that could flip rankings rapidly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
市場開放時間： Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,556,812結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released mid-April 2026, has surged to the top of Arena.ai leaderboards across text, coding, simulations, and gaming domains—peaking at 1611 Elo in gaming—driving trader consensus on its frontier large language model dominance through superior reasoning and consistency. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High remains competitive in expert tasks and math benchmarks, while xAI's Grok 4.20 shines in creative writing, and Chinese challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 push open-source boundaries. With six weeks to June 30 resolution on the primary Chatbot Arena leaderboard, sentiment hinges on potential unreleased models from OpenAI or xAI, developer conferences, and benchmark volatility that could flip rankings rapidly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$1,556,812結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released mid-April 2026, has surged to the top of Arena.ai leaderboards across text, coding, simulations, and gaming domains—peaking at 1611 Elo in gaming—driving trader consensus on its frontier large language model dominance through superior reasoning and consistency. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High remains competitive in expert tasks and math benchmarks, while xAI's Grok 4.20 shines in creative writing, and Chinese challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 push open-source boundaries. With six weeks to June 30 resolution on the primary Chatbot Arena leaderboard, sentiment hinges on potential unreleased models from OpenAI or xAI, developer conferences, and benchmark volatility that could flip rankings rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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