United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯黨(ER) 59%
新人民黨(NL) 33.4%
俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR) 6.2%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF) 1.6%
$13,326,795 交易量
$13,326,795 交易量

統一俄羅斯黨(ER)
59%

新人民黨(NL)
33%

俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR)
6%

俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF)
2%

正義俄羅斯—為真理(SRZP)
<1%

祖國黨
<1%

公民平台(GP)
<1%
統一俄羅斯黨(ER) 59%
新人民黨(NL) 33.4%
俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR) 6.2%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF) 1.6%
$13,326,795 交易量
$13,326,795 交易量

統一俄羅斯黨(ER)
59%

新人民黨(NL)
33%

俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR)
6%

俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF)
2%

正義俄羅斯—為真理(SRZP)
<1%

祖國黨
<1%

公民平台(GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions