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icon for 紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·初選

紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·初選

紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者

貝絲·戴維森 42%

凱特·康利 33%

Effie Phillips-Staley 18.6%

彼得·查茨基 1.3%

Polymarket

$60,784 交易量

貝絲·戴維森 42%

凱特·康利 33%

Effie Phillips-Staley 18.6%

彼得·查茨基 1.3%

Polymarket

$60,784 交易量

貝絲·戴維森

$23,680 交易量

42%

凱特·康利

$27,700 交易量

33%

Effie Phillips-Staley

$1,449 交易量

17%

彼得·查茨基

$3,570 交易量

1%

約翰·卡佩羅

$869 交易量

1%

約翰·沙利文

$1,443 交易量

<1%

麥克·薩克斯

$1,147 交易量

<1%

潔西卡·萊因曼

$927 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Beth Davidson holds a narrow lead over Cait Conley in trader pricing for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 17th Congressional District, with both candidates drawing strong but divided support from local party committees and county organizations. Davidson benefits from her record as a Rockland County legislator and prior wins in competitive areas, while Conley draws from her Army veteran background and national security experience that some see as advantageous for the general election against incumbent Republican Mike Lawler. Putnam County Democrats recently endorsed Conley, Westchester remained neutral after splitting between the two, and Rockland backed Davidson earlier. Effie Phillips-Staley trails with limited but consistent backing, while the remaining candidates poll in single digits. Further debates, final fundraising reports, and turnout in key Hudson Valley counties could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$60,784
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Beth Davidson holds a narrow lead over Cait Conley in trader pricing for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 17th Congressional District, with both candidates drawing strong but divided support from local party committees and county organizations. Davidson benefits from her record as a Rockland County legislator and prior wins in competitive areas, while Conley draws from her Army veteran background and national security experience that some see as advantageous for the general election against incumbent Republican Mike Lawler. Putnam County Democrats recently endorsed Conley, Westchester remained neutral after splitting between the two, and Rockland backed Davidson earlier. Effie Phillips-Staley trails with limited but consistent backing, while the remaining candidates poll in single digits. Further debates, final fundraising reports, and turnout in key Hudson Valley counties could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$60,784
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "貝絲·戴維森" at 42%, followed by "凱特·康利" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $60.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者" is "貝絲·戴維森" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "凱特·康利" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.