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icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

加迪·艾森科特 37.6%

班傑明·納坦雅胡 35%

納夫塔利·貝內特 14%

阿維格多·利伯曼 3.8%

Polymarket

$18,844,550 交易量

加迪·艾森科特 37.6%

班傑明·納坦雅胡 35%

納夫塔利·貝內特 14%

阿維格多·利伯曼 3.8%

Polymarket

$18,844,550 交易量

加迪·艾森科特

$1,051,438 交易量

38%

班傑明·納坦雅胡

$1,829,753 交易量

35%

納夫塔利·貝內特

$2,047,319 交易量

14%

阿維格多·利伯曼

$1,815,741 交易量

4%

伊塔瑪·本·格維爾

$1,164,602 交易量

1%

亞里夫·萊文

$658,772 交易量

1%

以色列·卡茨

$436,720 交易量

1%

約西·科恩

$1,096,079 交易量

<1%

吉迪恩·萨尔

$1,258,838 交易量

<1%

亞伊爾·拉皮德

$834,975 交易量

<1%

班尼·甘茨

$745,511 交易量

<1%

亞伊爾·戈蘭

$1,102,428 交易量

<1%

尼爾·巴卡特

$641,547 交易量

<1%

吉拉德·埃爾丹

$93,174 交易量

<1%

艾耶萊特·沙凱德

$1,072,520 交易量

<1%

阿米爾·奧哈納

$1,052,323 交易量

<1%

摩謝·費格林

$759,018 交易量

<1%

約阿茲·亨德爾

$1,184,212 交易量

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election due to his rising profile as leader of the new Yashar party and strong centrist-security appeal among voters seeking an alternative to the incumbent. Recent polling shows his support edging ahead of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid, bolstered by Eizenkot's former IDF chief role, personal losses in the Gaza conflict, and criticism of coalition governance. Benjamin Netanyahu remains close behind, backed by Likud's projected seat strength and right-wing bloc loyalty despite coalition strains over military exemptions and prolonged multi-front operations. Bennett's merger aims to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces but has not yet produced decisive separation. The narrow gap reflects persistent opposition fragmentation, voter priorities on security and accountability, and the structural need for a 61-seat majority in coalition negotiations.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,844,550
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election due to his rising profile as leader of the new Yashar party and strong centrist-security appeal among voters seeking an alternative to the incumbent. Recent polling shows his support edging ahead of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid, bolstered by Eizenkot's former IDF chief role, personal losses in the Gaza conflict, and criticism of coalition governance. Benjamin Netanyahu remains close behind, backed by Likud's projected seat strength and right-wing bloc loyalty despite coalition strains over military exemptions and prolonged multi-front operations. Bennett's merger aims to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces but has not yet produced decisive separation. The narrow gap reflects persistent opposition fragmentation, voter priorities on security and accountability, and the structural need for a 61-seat majority in coalition negotiations.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,844,550
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加迪·艾森科特" at 38%, followed by "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" has generated $18.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is "加迪·艾森科特" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.