Recent diplomatic engagement between the United States and China, including the mid-May 2026 summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, has kept cross-strait tensions within established bounds, with Beijing reiterating its claims while both sides avoided new escalatory steps. Routine People’s Liberation Army activities in the Taiwan Strait and air defense identification zone continue at normalized levels, accompanied by Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan approval of a 780 billion NTD special defense budget in early May to fund additional U.S. arms acquisitions and missile systems. These developments, alongside ongoing bilateral trade and security discussions without signs of imminent military mobilization, underpin trader consensus that an invasion remains unlikely through the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$23,356,221 交易量
$23,356,221 交易量
是
$23,356,221 交易量
$23,356,221 交易量
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recent diplomatic engagement between the United States and China, including the mid-May 2026 summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, has kept cross-strait tensions within established bounds, with Beijing reiterating its claims while both sides avoided new escalatory steps. Routine People’s Liberation Army activities in the Taiwan Strait and air defense identification zone continue at normalized levels, accompanied by Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan approval of a 780 billion NTD special defense budget in early May to fund additional U.S. arms acquisitions and missile systems. These developments, alongside ongoing bilateral trade and security discussions without signs of imminent military mobilization, underpin trader consensus that an invasion remains unlikely through the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions