Iran's constitutional schedule sets presidential elections every four years, with the most recent contest held in 2024 after President Ebrahim Raisi's death, placing the next regular vote in 2028. No official announcements, legislative actions, or institutional signals point to a snap election or extraordinary ballot before June 30, 2026, supporting trader consensus that the outcome is unlikely. Factors such as the absence of acute leadership crises or major political instability further reinforce this positioning. Late developments like the death or incapacitation of President Masoud Pezeshkian or Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei could still trigger an earlier process under succession protocols, though such events remain outside the current baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$698,769 交易量
$698,769 交易量
是
$698,769 交易量
$698,769 交易量
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitutional schedule sets presidential elections every four years, with the most recent contest held in 2024 after President Ebrahim Raisi's death, placing the next regular vote in 2028. No official announcements, legislative actions, or institutional signals point to a snap election or extraordinary ballot before June 30, 2026, supporting trader consensus that the outcome is unlikely. Factors such as the absence of acute leadership crises or major political instability further reinforce this positioning. Late developments like the death or incapacitation of President Masoud Pezeshkian or Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei could still trigger an earlier process under succession protocols, though such events remain outside the current baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions