Iran's constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the most recent snap vote in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian following Ebrahim Raisi's death. The next scheduled contest is set for 2028, absent a vacancy from resignation, removal, or the Supreme Leader's directive for an early poll. Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026 and the subsequent April ceasefire introduced regional instability that could prompt leadership changes or political realignments before the regular cycle. Key factors include domestic economic pressures, factional competition between reformists and hardliners, and any health or succession developments involving senior figures. No major procedural announcements or candidate registrations have surfaced in the past month to signal an accelerated timeline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$767,367 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
9%
$767,367 交易量
12月31日
$153 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the most recent snap vote in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian following Ebrahim Raisi's death. The next scheduled contest is set for 2028, absent a vacancy from resignation, removal, or the Supreme Leader's directive for an early poll. Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026 and the subsequent April ceasefire introduced regional instability that could prompt leadership changes or political realignments before the regular cycle. Key factors include domestic economic pressures, factional competition between reformists and hardliners, and any health or succession developments involving senior figures. No major procedural announcements or candidate registrations have surfaced in the past month to signal an accelerated timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$767,367結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the most recent snap vote in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian following Ebrahim Raisi's death. The next scheduled contest is set for 2028, absent a vacancy from resignation, removal, or the Supreme Leader's directive for an early poll. Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026 and the subsequent April ceasefire introduced regional instability that could prompt leadership changes or political realignments before the regular cycle. Key factors include domestic economic pressures, factional competition between reformists and hardliners, and any health or succession developments involving senior figures. No major procedural announcements or candidate registrations have surfaced in the past month to signal an accelerated timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$767,367結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitution mandates presidential elections every four years, with the most recent snap vote in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian following Ebrahim Raisi's death. The next scheduled contest is set for 2028, absent a vacancy from resignation, removal, or the Supreme Leader's directive for an early poll. Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026 and the subsequent April ceasefire introduced regional instability that could prompt leadership changes or political realignments before the regular cycle. Key factors include domestic economic pressures, factional competition between reformists and hardliners, and any health or succession developments involving senior figures. No major procedural announcements or candidate registrations have surfaced in the past month to signal an accelerated timeline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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