Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$51,779 交易量
$51,779 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$51,779 交易量
$51,779 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
交易量
$51,779結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$51,779結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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