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icon for 2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？
政治·特朗普

2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？

icon for 2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？
政治·特朗普

2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？

是

92% 機率
Polymarket

$166,598 交易量

是

92% 機率
Polymarket

$166,598 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Constitutional requirements under Article I mandate U.S. House elections every two years, fixing the 2026 midterms for November 3 with no statutory mechanism for national postponement or cancellation. State and local election officials across both parties continue preparations, including ongoing redistricting in several Republican-led states to adjust congressional maps ahead of the vote. Isolated comments from President Trump in early 2026 about potentially canceling the contests were quickly walked back as non-serious, and federal courts plus congressional self-interest have shown no support for altering the schedule. Trader pricing at 91.5% for the elections proceeding reflects these institutional safeguards and the absence of any qualifying emergency or legislative action that could disrupt the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$166,598
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Constitutional requirements under Article I mandate U.S. House elections every two years, fixing the 2026 midterms for November 3 with no statutory mechanism for national postponement or cancellation. State and local election officials across both parties continue preparations, including ongoing redistricting in several Republican-led states to adjust congressional maps ahead of the vote. Isolated comments from President Trump in early 2026 about potentially canceling the contests were quickly walked back as non-serious, and federal courts plus congressional self-interest have shown no support for altering the schedule. Trader pricing at 91.5% for the elections proceeding reflects these institutional safeguards and the absence of any qualifying emergency or legislative action that could disrupt the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$166,598
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年期中選舉會按計劃舉行嗎？" at 92%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？" has generated $166.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？" is "2026年期中選舉會按計劃舉行嗎？" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年中期選舉會如期舉行嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.