The 2026 midterm elections stand as the central driver behind traders assigning a 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently controls the chamber, yet Democratic gains next November would likely trigger renewed proceedings, following multiple resolutions already introduced and polling that shows majority voter support for impeachment. Escalating tensions from the Iran conflict, including recent presidential statements and military actions without prior congressional authorization, have prompted over seventy Democratic lawmakers to call for removal through impeachment or the 25th Amendment. These developments, combined with historical precedent of prior impeachments during divided government, shape the current market pricing as traders weigh the odds of a House majority shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$62,328 交易量
$62,328 交易量
2029-01-20
是
$62,328 交易量
$62,328 交易量
2029-01-20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The 2026 midterm elections stand as the central driver behind traders assigning a 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently controls the chamber, yet Democratic gains next November would likely trigger renewed proceedings, following multiple resolutions already introduced and polling that shows majority voter support for impeachment. Escalating tensions from the Iran conflict, including recent presidential statements and military actions without prior congressional authorization, have prompted over seventy Democratic lawmakers to call for removal through impeachment or the 25th Amendment. These developments, combined with historical precedent of prior impeachments during divided government, shape the current market pricing as traders weigh the odds of a House majority shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$62,328結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The 2026 midterm elections stand as the central driver behind traders assigning a 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently controls the chamber, yet Democratic gains next November would likely trigger renewed proceedings, following multiple resolutions already introduced and polling that shows majority voter support for impeachment. Escalating tensions from the Iran conflict, including recent presidential statements and military actions without prior congressional authorization, have prompted over seventy Democratic lawmakers to call for removal through impeachment or the 25th Amendment. These developments, combined with historical precedent of prior impeachments during divided government, shape the current market pricing as traders weigh the odds of a House majority shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$62,328結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections stand as the central driver behind traders assigning a 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently controls the chamber, yet Democratic gains next November would likely trigger renewed proceedings, following multiple resolutions already introduced and polling that shows majority voter support for impeachment. Escalating tensions from the Iran conflict, including recent presidential statements and military actions without prior congressional authorization, have prompted over seventy Democratic lawmakers to call for removal through impeachment or the 25th Amendment. These developments, combined with historical precedent of prior impeachments during divided government, shape the current market pricing as traders weigh the odds of a House majority shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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