Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms is viewed by traders as the key catalyst for articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Recent polling shows a majority of Americans cite grounds such as abuse of power or corruption in immigration enforcement, while House Democratic leaders have not ruled out the process and some members, including Rep. Jamie Raskin, have signaled readiness to use it if they regain the majority. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced this term, most recently by Rep. Al Green over alleged violations by ICE and CBP, though Republican majorities and Democratic leadership have tabled them. Historical precedent of two prior House impeachments and the narrow current GOP edge reinforce expectations that a shift in chamber control could produce the required majority vote on articles, even as Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
69% 機率
$102,685 交易量
$102,685 交易量
2029-01-19
賺 3.25% 收益
是
69% 機率
$102,685 交易量
$102,685 交易量
2029-01-19
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms is viewed by traders as the key catalyst for articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Recent polling shows a majority of Americans cite grounds such as abuse of power or corruption in immigration enforcement, while House Democratic leaders have not ruled out the process and some members, including Rep. Jamie Raskin, have signaled readiness to use it if they regain the majority. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced this term, most recently by Rep. Al Green over alleged violations by ICE and CBP, though Republican majorities and Democratic leadership have tabled them. Historical precedent of two prior House impeachments and the narrow current GOP edge reinforce expectations that a shift in chamber control could produce the required majority vote on articles, even as Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$102,685結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms is viewed by traders as the key catalyst for articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Recent polling shows a majority of Americans cite grounds such as abuse of power or corruption in immigration enforcement, while House Democratic leaders have not ruled out the process and some members, including Rep. Jamie Raskin, have signaled readiness to use it if they regain the majority. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced this term, most recently by Rep. Al Green over alleged violations by ICE and CBP, though Republican majorities and Democratic leadership have tabled them. Historical precedent of two prior House impeachments and the narrow current GOP edge reinforce expectations that a shift in chamber control could produce the required majority vote on articles, even as Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$102,685結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETDemocratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms is viewed by traders as the key catalyst for articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Recent polling shows a majority of Americans cite grounds such as abuse of power or corruption in immigration enforcement, while House Democratic leaders have not ruled out the process and some members, including Rep. Jamie Raskin, have signaled readiness to use it if they regain the majority. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced this term, most recently by Rep. Al Green over alleged violations by ICE and CBP, though Republican majorities and Democratic leadership have tabled them. Historical precedent of two prior House impeachments and the narrow current GOP edge reinforce expectations that a shift in chamber control could produce the required majority vote on articles, even as Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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