President Donald Trump’s established pattern of public name-calling through Truth Social posts, interviews, and speeches continues to shape trader assessments in daily markets on whether he will issue a public insult on a given date. Recent examples include his detailed explanation of the term “Dumocrats” for Democrats during a Fox News appearance, references to a reporter as “dumb” while defending White House ballroom plans, and prior rebukes of figures such as Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson and media personalities. These statements, alongside ongoing commentary on Iran policy and domestic opponents, reflect a consistent rhetorical style that traders view as likely to recur absent major schedule changes. Upcoming press briefings and potential campaign events could provide additional platforms for such language before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$509,115 交易量
May 18
95%
May 19
93%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$509,115 交易量
May 18
95%
May 19
93%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s established pattern of public name-calling through Truth Social posts, interviews, and speeches continues to shape trader assessments in daily markets on whether he will issue a public insult on a given date. Recent examples include his detailed explanation of the term “Dumocrats” for Democrats during a Fox News appearance, references to a reporter as “dumb” while defending White House ballroom plans, and prior rebukes of figures such as Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson and media personalities. These statements, alongside ongoing commentary on Iran policy and domestic opponents, reflect a consistent rhetorical style that traders view as likely to recur absent major schedule changes. Upcoming press briefings and potential campaign events could provide additional platforms for such language before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions