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政治·主要

威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

曼德拉·巴恩斯 50%

弗朗西絲卡·洪 32.5%

薩拉·羅德里格斯 15%

大衛·克勞利 2.8%

Polymarket

$56,986 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯 50%

弗朗西絲卡·洪 32.5%

薩拉·羅德里格斯 15%

大衛·克勞利 2.8%

Polymarket

$56,986 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯

$9,515 交易量

50%

弗朗西絲卡·洪

$8,113 交易量

33%

薩拉·羅德里格斯

$10,902 交易量

15%

大衛·克勞利

$3,449 交易量

3%

喬爾·布倫南

$2,764 交易量

1%

Chris Larson

$8,787 交易量

1%

扎克瑞·羅珀

$1,728 交易量

1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,850 交易量

<1%

梅麗莎·阿加德

$2,257 交易量

<1%

Kelda Roys

$2,414 交易量

<1%

湯姆·尼爾森

$1,699 交易量

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,823 交易量

<1%

布雷特·霍爾西

$1,685 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mandela Barnes leads trader pricing in Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic primary for governor, reflecting his unmatched statewide name recognition from the 2022 Senate race and prior role as lieutenant governor under Tony Evers. Recent Marquette University polls show the race remains wide open, with Barnes and state Representative Francesca Hong the only candidates above 10 percent and roughly two-thirds of voters undecided. Hong's second-place standing stems from early momentum among the party's more progressive voters, driven by her democratic socialist platform and grassroots focus on working families. Sara Rodriguez trails further back, while the remaining candidates, including David Crowley and Joel Brennan, register minimal support in both polling and market prices. Key upcoming factors include continued candidate outreach on utility costs and data-center regulation through the summer campaign window.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$56,986
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mandela Barnes leads trader pricing in Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic primary for governor, reflecting his unmatched statewide name recognition from the 2022 Senate race and prior role as lieutenant governor under Tony Evers. Recent Marquette University polls show the race remains wide open, with Barnes and state Representative Francesca Hong the only candidates above 10 percent and roughly two-thirds of voters undecided. Hong's second-place standing stems from early momentum among the party's more progressive voters, driven by her democratic socialist platform and grassroots focus on working families. Sara Rodriguez trails further back, while the remaining candidates, including David Crowley and Joel Brennan, register minimal support in both polling and market prices. Key upcoming factors include continued candidate outreach on utility costs and data-center regulation through the summer campaign window.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$56,986
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "曼德拉·巴恩斯" at 50%, followed by "弗朗西絲卡·洪" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $57K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "曼德拉·巴恩斯" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "弗朗西絲卡·洪" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.