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聯邦儲備局 預測與賠率

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特朗普會試圖在...前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局成員嗎?

特朗普會試圖在...前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局成員嗎?

17%

12月31日

$19.9K 交易量

$19.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

0 (0 bps)

$7.3K 交易量

$58.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

在7月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?

在7月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?

54%

0

$8.3K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

聯儲局7月份的決定?

聯儲局7月份的決定?

82%

無變動

$22M 交易量

$567K today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

77%

0(0個基點)

$39M 交易量

$259K today

$3M Liq.

90

Ends 6 個月內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

87%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$520K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

63%

No change

$888K 交易量

$498K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

2026年聯儲局加息?

2026年聯儲局加息?

53%

$3M 交易量

$219K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

美聯儲降息... ?

美聯儲降息... ?

19%

12月會議

$3M 交易量

$352K Liq.

21

Ends 11 天前

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

45%

Other

$39.5K 交易量

$164K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

聯儲局決定( 4月至7月)

聯儲局決定( 4月至7月)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$105K 交易量

$119K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

59%

No change

$108K 交易量

$175K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

聯儲局加息... ?

聯儲局加息... ?

45%

十月會議

$393K 交易量

$126K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

30%

↑ 4.25%

$2M 交易量

$146K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

61%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$26.5K 交易量

$131K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

32%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$167K Liq.

6

Ends 5 個月內

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$51.7K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

科技公司在20 26年向上或向下裁員?

科技公司在20 26年向上或向下裁員?

83%

Up

$25.6K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

2027年之前的美國國家比特幣儲備?

2027年之前的美國國家比特幣儲備?

24%

$44.1K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

38%

12月31日

$424K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

22

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 25 active markets for 聯邦儲備局 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “特朗普會試圖在...前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局成員嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $81.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2027年之前的美國國家比特幣儲備?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to 0(0個基點). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 聯邦儲備局 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.