AfD maintains commanding polling leads of 15–20 points in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt (September 6) and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (September 20), where it is positioned to secure pluralities and potentially the most seats, while trailing in Berlin on the same date. These eastern advantages reflect sustained regional strength for the party amid national polling averages near 28 percent, with limited recent shifts from coalition dynamics or opposition campaigns. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the party topping results in exactly two of the three contests, though smaller parties clearing or missing the 5 percent threshold could alter seat distributions in the eastern states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2 74%
3 14.2%
1 12.7%
0 <1%
$56,191 交易量
$56,191 交易量
2026-12-31
0
1%
1
13%
2
74%
3
14%
2 74%
3 14.2%
1 12.7%
0 <1%
$56,191 交易量
$56,191 交易量
2026-12-31
0
$5,883 交易量
1%
1
$13,472 交易量
13%
2
$21,345 交易量
74%
3
$15,492 交易量
14%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD maintains commanding polling leads of 15–20 points in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt (September 6) and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (September 20), where it is positioned to secure pluralities and potentially the most seats, while trailing in Berlin on the same date. These eastern advantages reflect sustained regional strength for the party amid national polling averages near 28 percent, with limited recent shifts from coalition dynamics or opposition campaigns. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the party topping results in exactly two of the three contests, though smaller parties clearing or missing the 5 percent threshold could alter seat distributions in the eastern states.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
交易量
$56,191结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD maintains commanding polling leads of 15–20 points in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt (September 6) and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (September 20), where it is positioned to secure pluralities and potentially the most seats, while trailing in Berlin on the same date. These eastern advantages reflect sustained regional strength for the party amid national polling averages near 28 percent, with limited recent shifts from coalition dynamics or opposition campaigns. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the party topping results in exactly two of the three contests, though smaller parties clearing or missing the 5 percent threshold could alter seat distributions in the eastern states.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
交易量
$56,191结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...AfD maintains commanding polling leads of 15–20 points in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt (September 6) and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (September 20), where it is positioned to secure pluralities and potentially the most seats, while trailing in Berlin on the same date. These eastern advantages reflect sustained regional strength for the party amid national polling averages near 28 percent, with limited recent shifts from coalition dynamics or opposition campaigns. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the party topping results in exactly two of the three contests, though smaller parties clearing or missing the 5 percent threshold could alter seat distributions in the eastern states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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