Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.1% headline MoM rise and 0.2% core increase with the annual rate easing to 3.4% and 2.5% respectively, anchors trader expectations for August around 0.3-0.4% MoM. Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 0.35% headline and 0.20% core for the month, reflecting persistent shelter contributions offset by softening energy prices and stable food costs. With probabilities closely split between the top two outcomes, market-implied odds incorporate uncertainty over potential volatility in gasoline and used vehicles ahead of the September 11 release, while broader moderation in core trends supports the consensus range amid a labor market that remains supportive of gradual disinflation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.4% 40%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
40%
≥0.5%
12%
0.4% 40%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
40%
≥0.5%
12%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.1% headline MoM rise and 0.2% core increase with the annual rate easing to 3.4% and 2.5% respectively, anchors trader expectations for August around 0.3-0.4% MoM. Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 0.35% headline and 0.20% core for the month, reflecting persistent shelter contributions offset by softening energy prices and stable food costs. With probabilities closely split between the top two outcomes, market-implied odds incorporate uncertainty over potential volatility in gasoline and used vehicles ahead of the September 11 release, while broader moderation in core trends supports the consensus range amid a labor market that remains supportive of gradual disinflation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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