Incumbent Mike Thompson and Democratic challenger Eric Jones lead in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising edges and the district's Democratic lean despite recent redistricting under Proposition 50. Thompson's 28-year tenure and institutional support, including state party backing, position him strongly among voters, while Jones, a political newcomer, has raised over $3.2 million from individual and tech contributors, slightly outpacing Thompson's totals and signaling generational appeal. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates limits any single GOP contender's path to the top two, and no major polls have shifted the contest in recent weeks. Voter registration closes May 18, with early in-person voting beginning May 29, giving these frontrunners time to consolidate support before ballots finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,145 交易量
2026-06-02
迈克·汤普森
97%
Eric Jones
90%
希斯·富克森
11%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
8%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
7%
劳丽·麦肯齐
5%
莎伦·布朗
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$30,145 交易量
迈克·汤普森
$7,192 交易量
97%
Eric Jones
$4,925 交易量
90%
希斯·富克森
$396 交易量
11%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
$894 交易量
8%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
$9,903 交易量
7%
劳丽·麦肯齐
$710 交易量
5%
莎伦·布朗
$3,429 交易量
2%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,695 交易量
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson and Democratic challenger Eric Jones lead in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising edges and the district's Democratic lean despite recent redistricting under Proposition 50. Thompson's 28-year tenure and institutional support, including state party backing, position him strongly among voters, while Jones, a political newcomer, has raised over $3.2 million from individual and tech contributors, slightly outpacing Thompson's totals and signaling generational appeal. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates limits any single GOP contender's path to the top two, and no major polls have shifted the contest in recent weeks. Voter registration closes May 18, with early in-person voting beginning May 29, giving these frontrunners time to consolidate support before ballots finalize.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$30,145结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson and Democratic challenger Eric Jones lead in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising edges and the district's Democratic lean despite recent redistricting under Proposition 50. Thompson's 28-year tenure and institutional support, including state party backing, position him strongly among voters, while Jones, a political newcomer, has raised over $3.2 million from individual and tech contributors, slightly outpacing Thompson's totals and signaling generational appeal. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates limits any single GOP contender's path to the top two, and no major polls have shifted the contest in recent weeks. Voter registration closes May 18, with early in-person voting beginning May 29, giving these frontrunners time to consolidate support before ballots finalize.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$30,145结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson and Democratic challenger Eric Jones lead in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising edges and the district's Democratic lean despite recent redistricting under Proposition 50. Thompson's 28-year tenure and institutional support, including state party backing, position him strongly among voters, while Jones, a political newcomer, has raised over $3.2 million from individual and tech contributors, slightly outpacing Thompson's totals and signaling generational appeal. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates limits any single GOP contender's path to the top two, and no major polls have shifted the contest in recent weeks. Voter registration closes May 18, with early in-person voting beginning May 29, giving these frontrunners time to consolidate support before ballots finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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