Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a significant first-day pop beyond the upped $150–$160 per share pricing range announced May 10, which implies a fully diluted valuation near $49 billion on a $4.8 billion raise. Surging demand—reportedly oversubscribed 20x—stems from the AI chip designer's $24.6 billion revenue backlog, major OpenAI and AWS contracts, and $510 million 2025 revenue amid sector euphoria, up from a February $23 billion private valuation. With Nasdaq listing as CBRS imminent this week, traders eye sustained AI infrastructure spending as key to post-IPO trading dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于600亿美元–700亿美元 48%
700亿美元–800亿美元 17%
500 亿–600 亿美元 14%
800 亿美元–900 亿美元 9.5%
$83,204 交易量
$83,204 交易量
低于 500 亿美元
6%
500 亿–600 亿美元
14%
600亿美元–700亿美元
48%
700亿美元–800亿美元
17%
800 亿美元–900 亿美元
10%
900亿美元–1000亿美元
9%
1000 亿美元以上
3%
2026年7月前不进行IPO
<1%
600亿美元–700亿美元 48%
700亿美元–800亿美元 17%
500 亿–600 亿美元 14%
800 亿美元–900 亿美元 9.5%
$83,204 交易量
$83,204 交易量
低于 500 亿美元
6%
500 亿–600 亿美元
14%
600亿美元–700亿美元
48%
700亿美元–800亿美元
17%
800 亿美元–900 亿美元
10%
900亿美元–1000亿美元
9%
1000 亿美元以上
3%
2026年7月前不进行IPO
<1%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a significant first-day pop beyond the upped $150–$160 per share pricing range announced May 10, which implies a fully diluted valuation near $49 billion on a $4.8 billion raise. Surging demand—reportedly oversubscribed 20x—stems from the AI chip designer's $24.6 billion revenue backlog, major OpenAI and AWS contracts, and $510 million 2025 revenue amid sector euphoria, up from a February $23 billion private valuation. With Nasdaq listing as CBRS imminent this week, traders eye sustained AI infrastructure spending as key to post-IPO trading dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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