Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于核心消费物价指数(不含食品和能源)月环比- 2026年5月
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 交易量
$12,308 交易量
≤-0.3%
No
-0.2%
No
-0.1%
No
0.0%
No
0.1%
No
0.2%
Yes
0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
≥0.6%
No
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 交易量
$12,308 交易量
≤-0.3%
No
-0.2%
No
-0.1%
No
0.0%
No
0.1%
No
0.2%
Yes
0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
≥0.6%
No
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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