Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress. A Democratic impeachment resolution introduced in late August has been referred to the Judiciary Committee with no prospect of House passage or Senate conviction before September 30. No credible reports indicate health concerns, resignation plans, or 25th Amendment discussions that could alter this timeline. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent against removal by the deadline reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen medical event or sudden bipartisan shift could theoretically intervene in the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
最新
$89,393 交易量
最新
$89,393 交易量
2026-09-30
是
2% 概率
最新
$89,393 交易量
最新
$89,393 交易量
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress. A Democratic impeachment resolution introduced in late August has been referred to the Judiciary Committee with no prospect of House passage or Senate conviction before September 30. No credible reports indicate health concerns, resignation plans, or 25th Amendment discussions that could alter this timeline. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent against removal by the deadline reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen medical event or sudden bipartisan shift could theoretically intervene in the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
交易量
$89,393结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress. A Democratic impeachment resolution introduced in late August has been referred to the Judiciary Committee with no prospect of House passage or Senate conviction before September 30. No credible reports indicate health concerns, resignation plans, or 25th Amendment discussions that could alter this timeline. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent against removal by the deadline reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen medical event or sudden bipartisan shift could theoretically intervene in the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$89,393结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETTrump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress. A Democratic impeachment resolution introduced in late August has been referred to the Judiciary Committee with no prospect of House passage or Senate conviction before September 30. No credible reports indicate health concerns, resignation plans, or 25th Amendment discussions that could alter this timeline. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent against removal by the deadline reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen medical event or sudden bipartisan shift could theoretically intervene in the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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