Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson, seeking an eleventh term, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile challenger. Race raters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voting patterns in presidential and congressional elections. A late primary upset or unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, yet the structural partisan advantage and incumbency advantage continue to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,866 交易量
$27,866 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$27,866 交易量
$27,866 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson, seeking an eleventh term, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile challenger. Race raters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voting patterns in presidential and congressional elections. A late primary upset or unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, yet the structural partisan advantage and incumbency advantage continue to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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