Persistent heat dome conditions over the southern Plains support efficient daytime heating for Austin on August 10, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicating mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs centered near 98–100°F. Climatological norms place the mid-August average at 98°F, while ensemble model spreads and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest downside risk if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band around near-normal maxima, with limited cool-air advection or widespread cloud cover to suppress temperatures further. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 47%
98-99°F 36%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89华氏度
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
47%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 47%
98-99°F 36%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
87°F或以下
$12 交易量
<1%
88-89华氏度
$12 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$32 交易量
6%
92-93°F
$6 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$11 交易量
13%
96-97°F
$79 交易量
47%
98-99°F
$20 交易量
36%
100-101°F
$2 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$32 交易量
1%
106°F或更高
$72 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome conditions over the southern Plains support efficient daytime heating for Austin on August 10, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicating mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs centered near 98–100°F. Climatological norms place the mid-August average at 98°F, while ensemble model spreads and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest downside risk if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band around near-normal maxima, with limited cool-air advection or widespread cloud cover to suppress temperatures further. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$280结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome conditions over the southern Plains support efficient daytime heating for Austin on August 10, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicating mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs centered near 98–100°F. Climatological norms place the mid-August average at 98°F, while ensemble model spreads and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest downside risk if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band around near-normal maxima, with limited cool-air advection or widespread cloud cover to suppress temperatures further. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$280结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETPersistent heat dome conditions over the southern Plains support efficient daytime heating for Austin on August 10, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicating mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs centered near 98–100°F. Climatological norms place the mid-August average at 98°F, while ensemble model spreads and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest downside risk if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band around near-normal maxima, with limited cool-air advection or widespread cloud cover to suppress temperatures further. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题