Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecast models have converged on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Busan for August 16, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. This follows the early-August heatwave peak, when regional highs exceeded 38°C under persistent high-pressure systems, with subsequent cooling linked to increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting wind patterns reducing insolation. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions align precisely with 26°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected rapid clearing or station-specific measurement revisions exceeding typical observational uncertainty ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日釜山气温最高？
8月16日釜山气温最高？
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$45,703 交易量
$45,703 交易量
2026-08-16
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$45,703 交易量
$45,703 交易量
2026-08-16
21°C or below
$197 交易量
No
22°C
$173 交易量
No
23°C
$217 交易量
No
24°C
$2,484 交易量
No
25°C
$8,923 交易量
No
26°C
$8,508 交易量
Yes
27°C
$12,616 交易量
No
28°C
$5,174 交易量
No
29°C
$3,873 交易量
No
30°C
$1,374 交易量
No
31°C或更高
$2,164 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecast models have converged on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Busan for August 16, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. This follows the early-August heatwave peak, when regional highs exceeded 38°C under persistent high-pressure systems, with subsequent cooling linked to increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting wind patterns reducing insolation. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions align precisely with 26°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected rapid clearing or station-specific measurement revisions exceeding typical observational uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$45,703结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecast models have converged on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Busan for August 16, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. This follows the early-August heatwave peak, when regional highs exceeded 38°C under persistent high-pressure systems, with subsequent cooling linked to increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting wind patterns reducing insolation. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions align precisely with 26°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected rapid clearing or station-specific measurement revisions exceeding typical observational uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,703结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecast models have converged on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Busan for August 16, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. This follows the early-August heatwave peak, when regional highs exceeded 38°C under persistent high-pressure systems, with subsequent cooling linked to increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting wind patterns reducing insolation. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions align precisely with 26°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected rapid clearing or station-specific measurement revisions exceeding typical observational uncertainty ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题