Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日开普敦气温最高？
8月16日开普敦气温最高？
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,501 交易量
$26,501 交易量
2026-08-16
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,501 交易量
$26,501 交易量
2026-08-16
13°C或以下
$1,173 交易量
否
14°C
$1,006 交易量
否
15°C
$1,712 交易量
否
16°C
$4,022 交易量
否
17°C
$5,209 交易量
是
18°C
$3,282 交易量
否
19°C
$3,909 交易量
否
20°C
$2,617 交易量
否
21°C
$2,006 交易量
否
22°C
$739 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$825 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,501结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,501结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题