Official Hong Kong Observatory readings for August 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 33°C at the headquarters station, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing daytime heating to reach but not exceed that threshold. Nearby regional stations reported comparable peaks between 31–33°C, confirming consistency across the urban network. The near-certainty in trader positioning stems from real-time observational data released shortly after the observation period closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post hoc correction by the Observatory or a shift in the exact resolution station definition could alter the result at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日香港气温最高?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$129,202 交易量
$129,202 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$129,202 交易量
$129,202 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official Hong Kong Observatory readings for August 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 33°C at the headquarters station, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing daytime heating to reach but not exceed that threshold. Nearby regional stations reported comparable peaks between 31–33°C, confirming consistency across the urban network. The near-certainty in trader positioning stems from real-time observational data released shortly after the observation period closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post hoc correction by the Observatory or a shift in the exact resolution station definition could alter the result at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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