Jinan’s August climate features average daily highs of 30–32°C driven by the East Asian monsoon, with frequent peaks above 35°C and occasional extremes near 40°C according to long-term records and 2026 early-month observations from Shandong meteorological authorities. Ongoing high-temperature warnings for northern Jinan areas, with maxima forecast in the mid-to-upper 30s, underpin the market’s 99.3% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or above on August 9. This near-certainty reflects both climatological baselines and current synoptic patterns favoring sustained warmth. A realistic shift below this threshold would require an atypical, strong cold-air intrusion or major precipitation event capable of suppressing daytime heating—developments not indicated in current model guidance but possible if steering patterns change rapidly ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日济南气温最高？
8月9日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
16°C or below
$283 交易量
<1%
17°C
$244 交易量
<1%
18°C
$148 交易量
<1%
19°C
$268 交易量
<1%
20°C
$248 交易量
<1%
21°C
$248 交易量
<1%
22°C
$167 交易量
<1%
23°C
$253 交易量
<1%
24°C
$243 交易量
<1%
25°C
$186 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$761 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s August climate features average daily highs of 30–32°C driven by the East Asian monsoon, with frequent peaks above 35°C and occasional extremes near 40°C according to long-term records and 2026 early-month observations from Shandong meteorological authorities. Ongoing high-temperature warnings for northern Jinan areas, with maxima forecast in the mid-to-upper 30s, underpin the market’s 99.3% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or above on August 9. This near-certainty reflects both climatological baselines and current synoptic patterns favoring sustained warmth. A realistic shift below this threshold would require an atypical, strong cold-air intrusion or major precipitation event capable of suppressing daytime heating—developments not indicated in current model guidance but possible if steering patterns change rapidly ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,051结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s August climate features average daily highs of 30–32°C driven by the East Asian monsoon, with frequent peaks above 35°C and occasional extremes near 40°C according to long-term records and 2026 early-month observations from Shandong meteorological authorities. Ongoing high-temperature warnings for northern Jinan areas, with maxima forecast in the mid-to-upper 30s, underpin the market’s 99.3% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or above on August 9. This near-certainty reflects both climatological baselines and current synoptic patterns favoring sustained warmth. A realistic shift below this threshold would require an atypical, strong cold-air intrusion or major precipitation event capable of suppressing daytime heating—developments not indicated in current model guidance but possible if steering patterns change rapidly ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,051结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETJinan’s August climate features average daily highs of 30–32°C driven by the East Asian monsoon, with frequent peaks above 35°C and occasional extremes near 40°C according to long-term records and 2026 early-month observations from Shandong meteorological authorities. Ongoing high-temperature warnings for northern Jinan areas, with maxima forecast in the mid-to-upper 30s, underpin the market’s 99.3% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or above on August 9. This near-certainty reflects both climatological baselines and current synoptic patterns favoring sustained warmth. A realistic shift below this threshold would require an atypical, strong cold-air intrusion or major precipitation event capable of suppressing daytime heating—developments not indicated in current model guidance but possible if steering patterns change rapidly ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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