**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 35–36°C because numerical weather prediction models show substantial overlap in expected peak values for June 13 amid an approaching western disturbance.** This system is forecast to increase cloud cover and possibly trigger isolated showers or stronger sea breezes, which would limit daytime solar heating and keep the maximum temperature from exceeding the recent early-June climatological range of 34–38 °C. Official guidance from Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) currently place the most likely daily maximum near the 35–36 °C threshold, with the precise outcome sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of cloud build-up and any convective cooling. Historical Karachi June data indicate that even modest increases in low-level moisture or wind shift can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky conditions, explaining why the two central brackets dominate market-implied probabilities while tails remain thin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on June 13?
36°C 37%
35°C 36%
34°C 16%
37°C 10%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
36%
36°C
37%
37°C
10%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 37%
35°C 36%
34°C 16%
37°C 10%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
36%
36°C
37%
37°C
10%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 35–36°C because numerical weather prediction models show substantial overlap in expected peak values for June 13 amid an approaching western disturbance.** This system is forecast to increase cloud cover and possibly trigger isolated showers or stronger sea breezes, which would limit daytime solar heating and keep the maximum temperature from exceeding the recent early-June climatological range of 34–38 °C. Official guidance from Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) currently place the most likely daily maximum near the 35–36 °C threshold, with the precise outcome sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of cloud build-up and any convective cooling. Historical Karachi June data indicate that even modest increases in low-level moisture or wind shift can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky conditions, explaining why the two central brackets dominate market-implied probabilities while tails remain thin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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