Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (51.5%) and 29°C (29.5%), followed by 31°C (17.5%). Official and private models, including those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate highs around 28–31°C (roughly 82–88°F) under broken to scattered cloud cover, with minimal precipitation expected. This range exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions possibly tied to regional atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around 29–30°C most heavily, while assigning lower implied probability to 31°C or higher due to model spread and the moderating influence of urban heat island effects versus rural stations used for official records. Updated model runs and any late-day observational adjustments from Brazilian meteorological agencies remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
30°C 51%
29°C 30%
31°C 18%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
30%
30°C
51%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 51%
29°C 30%
31°C 18%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$201 交易量
<1%
25°C
$253 交易量
<1%
26°C
$205 交易量
<1%
27°C
$465 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,449 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,307 交易量
30%
30°C
$874 交易量
51%
31°C
$901 交易量
18%
32°C
$197 交易量
2%
33°C
$155 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$697 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (51.5%) and 29°C (29.5%), followed by 31°C (17.5%). Official and private models, including those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate highs around 28–31°C (roughly 82–88°F) under broken to scattered cloud cover, with minimal precipitation expected. This range exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions possibly tied to regional atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around 29–30°C most heavily, while assigning lower implied probability to 31°C or higher due to model spread and the moderating influence of urban heat island effects versus rural stations used for official records. Updated model runs and any late-day observational adjustments from Brazilian meteorological agencies remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$7,703结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (51.5%) and 29°C (29.5%), followed by 31°C (17.5%). Official and private models, including those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate highs around 28–31°C (roughly 82–88°F) under broken to scattered cloud cover, with minimal precipitation expected. This range exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions possibly tied to regional atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around 29–30°C most heavily, while assigning lower implied probability to 31°C or higher due to model spread and the moderating influence of urban heat island effects versus rural stations used for official records. Updated model runs and any late-day observational adjustments from Brazilian meteorological agencies remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,703结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETRecent forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (51.5%) and 29°C (29.5%), followed by 31°C (17.5%). Official and private models, including those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate highs around 28–31°C (roughly 82–88°F) under broken to scattered cloud cover, with minimal precipitation expected. This range exceeds typical August climatology of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions possibly tied to regional atmospheric patterns favoring warmer air advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around 29–30°C most heavily, while assigning lower implied probability to 31°C or higher due to model spread and the moderating influence of urban heat island effects versus rural stations used for official records. Updated model runs and any late-day observational adjustments from Brazilian meteorological agencies remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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