Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日圣保罗的最高温度？
5月17日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$59,295 交易量
$59,295 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$59,295 交易量
$59,295 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
$2,459 交易量
<1%
14°C
$710 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,223 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,471 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,226 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,599 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,217 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,983 交易量
<1%
21°C
$14,140 交易量
<1%
22°C
$12,603 交易量
100%
23°C or higher
$12,360 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$59,295结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$59,295结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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