Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo on May 17 project a daytime maximum near 22°C, aligning with late-autumn climatology for the region and driving the strong market-implied probability for that outcome. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights stable high-pressure systems suppressing significant warming or cooling, with model consensus showing only modest variability in upper-level steering patterns. Historical data place typical May highs around this level, and no major synoptic shifts such as cold fronts or enhanced solar heating have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter expectations. Updated runs through the day will refine resolution criteria based on the official station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日圣保罗的最高温度?
22°C 98.4%
23°C or higher 1.4%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$57,723 交易量
$57,723 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
98%
23°C or higher
1%
22°C 98.4%
23°C or higher 1.4%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$57,723 交易量
$57,723 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
98%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo on May 17 project a daytime maximum near 22°C, aligning with late-autumn climatology for the region and driving the strong market-implied probability for that outcome. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights stable high-pressure systems suppressing significant warming or cooling, with model consensus showing only modest variability in upper-level steering patterns. Historical data place typical May highs around this level, and no major synoptic shifts such as cold fronts or enhanced solar heating have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter expectations. Updated runs through the day will refine resolution criteria based on the official station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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