Official Korean Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observations for August 16 indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, with persistent rain, easterly flow, and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating below seasonal norms around 30–31°C. High humidity and precipitation probability above 60% further limit convective warming and solar radiation, aligning trader consensus with this measured threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong alignment between model guidance and on-site data, though an unexpected late-day clearing or shift in steering winds could allow brief warming above 27°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月16日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$190,184 交易量
$190,184 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$190,184 交易量
$190,184 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$2,835 交易量
No
23°C
$1,316 交易量
No
24°C
$2,782 交易量
No
25°C
$7,750 交易量
No
26°C
$72,664 交易量
No
27°C
$27,170 交易量
Yes
28°C
$22,586 交易量
No
29°C
$16,406 交易量
No
30°C
$14,550 交易量
No
31°C
$14,137 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$7,988 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korean Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observations for August 16 indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, with persistent rain, easterly flow, and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating below seasonal norms around 30–31°C. High humidity and precipitation probability above 60% further limit convective warming and solar radiation, aligning trader consensus with this measured threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong alignment between model guidance and on-site data, though an unexpected late-day clearing or shift in steering winds could allow brief warming above 27°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$190,184结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korean Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observations for August 16 indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, with persistent rain, easterly flow, and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating below seasonal norms around 30–31°C. High humidity and precipitation probability above 60% further limit convective warming and solar radiation, aligning trader consensus with this measured threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong alignment between model guidance and on-site data, though an unexpected late-day clearing or shift in steering winds could allow brief warming above 27°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$190,184结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Korean Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observations for August 16 indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, with persistent rain, easterly flow, and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating below seasonal norms around 30–31°C. High humidity and precipitation probability above 60% further limit convective warming and solar radiation, aligning trader consensus with this measured threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong alignment between model guidance and on-site data, though an unexpected late-day clearing or shift in steering winds could allow brief warming above 27°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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