Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, aligning with model consensus for peak heating in the subtropical summer regime. This places the outcome well above the August climatological average high near 32–34°C while remaining within observed ranges for the basin’s urban heat island effect and light wind patterns that limit mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects convergence across agency guidance and limited downside from convective cooling. Realistically, only a faster arrival of widespread showers or greater-than-expected cloud cover could cap readings at 35°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日台北气温最高？
8月15日台北气温最高？
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$47,480 交易量
$47,480 交易量
2026-08-15
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$47,480 交易量
$47,480 交易量
2026-08-15
28°C or below
$2,399 交易量
No
29°C
$355 交易量
No
30°C
$771 交易量
No
31°C
$815 交易量
No
32°C
$3,456 交易量
No
33°C
$4,297 交易量
No
34°C
$7,649 交易量
No
35°C
$9,027 交易量
No
36°C
$8,769 交易量
Yes
37°C
$4,335 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$5,605 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, aligning with model consensus for peak heating in the subtropical summer regime. This places the outcome well above the August climatological average high near 32–34°C while remaining within observed ranges for the basin’s urban heat island effect and light wind patterns that limit mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects convergence across agency guidance and limited downside from convective cooling. Realistically, only a faster arrival of widespread showers or greater-than-expected cloud cover could cap readings at 35°C or below.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$47,480结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, aligning with model consensus for peak heating in the subtropical summer regime. This places the outcome well above the August climatological average high near 32–34°C while remaining within observed ranges for the basin’s urban heat island effect and light wind patterns that limit mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects convergence across agency guidance and limited downside from convective cooling. Realistically, only a faster arrival of widespread showers or greater-than-expected cloud cover could cap readings at 35°C or below.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,480结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, aligning with model consensus for peak heating in the subtropical summer regime. This places the outcome well above the August climatological average high near 32–34°C while remaining within observed ranges for the basin’s urban heat island effect and light wind patterns that limit mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects convergence across agency guidance and limited downside from convective cooling. Realistically, only a faster arrival of widespread showers or greater-than-expected cloud cover could cap readings at 35°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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