Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Tokyo on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeasterly flow and high humidity near 70-85%. This aligns with observed trends where urban heat island effects and typical August sea-breeze patterns stabilize daytime highs in this narrow range rather than allowing further intensification. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects real-time assimilation of these data, including recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected convective activity or a rapid change in cloud cover alters the energy balance enough to push the official station reading outside 28°C by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日东京气温最高？
8月13日东京气温最高？
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$81,148 交易量
$81,148 交易量
2026-08-13
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$81,148 交易量
$81,148 交易量
2026-08-13
23°C or below
$632 交易量
No
24°C
$1,830 交易量
No
25°C
$2,828 交易量
No
26°C
$6,698 交易量
No
27°C
$14,207 交易量
No
28°C
$16,909 交易量
Yes
29°C
$10,255 交易量
No
30°C
$8,493 交易量
No
31°C
$7,729 交易量
No
32°C
$4,461 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$7,107 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Tokyo on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeasterly flow and high humidity near 70-85%. This aligns with observed trends where urban heat island effects and typical August sea-breeze patterns stabilize daytime highs in this narrow range rather than allowing further intensification. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects real-time assimilation of these data, including recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected convective activity or a rapid change in cloud cover alters the energy balance enough to push the official station reading outside 28°C by day's end.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$81,148结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Tokyo on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeasterly flow and high humidity near 70-85%. This aligns with observed trends where urban heat island effects and typical August sea-breeze patterns stabilize daytime highs in this narrow range rather than allowing further intensification. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects real-time assimilation of these data, including recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected convective activity or a rapid change in cloud cover alters the energy balance enough to push the official station reading outside 28°C by day's end.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$81,148结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Tokyo on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeasterly flow and high humidity near 70-85%. This aligns with observed trends where urban heat island effects and typical August sea-breeze patterns stabilize daytime highs in this narrow range rather than allowing further intensification. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects real-time assimilation of these data, including recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected convective activity or a rapid change in cloud cover alters the energy balance enough to push the official station reading outside 28°C by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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