Trader consensus places an 80.5% probability on the sender of the “I beat Bush” email remaining unidentified through 2026, reflecting the lack of new verified disclosures in Epstein-related document releases or court proceedings. Limited public records have prompted modest positioning for Gwendolyn Beck at 10.8% due to prior name associations in archived correspondence, while lower odds for Ben Carson and other listed individuals track the absence of corroborating primary evidence tying them to the message. The market pricing illustrates how traders weigh the slow pace of additional Epstein file reviews against the high evidentiary bar required for definitive identification before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年未被披露 80%
格温多琳·贝克 10.8%
本·卡森 3.3%
唐纳德·特朗普 1.1%
$13,373 交易量
$13,373 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年未被披露
81%
格温多琳·贝克
11%
本·卡森
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
1%
泰德·克鲁兹
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
<1%
兰德·保罗
<1%
2026年未被披露 80%
格温多琳·贝克 10.8%
本·卡森 3.3%
唐纳德·特朗普 1.1%
$13,373 交易量
$13,373 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年未被披露
$3,977 交易量
81%
格温多琳·贝克
$1,311 交易量
11%
本·卡森
$1,840 交易量
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
$1,662 交易量
1%
泰德·克鲁兹
$1,658 交易量
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$1,706 交易量
<1%
兰德·保罗
$1,219 交易量
<1%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus places an 80.5% probability on the sender of the “I beat Bush” email remaining unidentified through 2026, reflecting the lack of new verified disclosures in Epstein-related document releases or court proceedings. Limited public records have prompted modest positioning for Gwendolyn Beck at 10.8% due to prior name associations in archived correspondence, while lower odds for Ben Carson and other listed individuals track the absence of corroborating primary evidence tying them to the message. The market pricing illustrates how traders weigh the slow pace of additional Epstein file reviews against the high evidentiary bar required for definitive identification before year-end.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$13,373结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus places an 80.5% probability on the sender of the “I beat Bush” email remaining unidentified through 2026, reflecting the lack of new verified disclosures in Epstein-related document releases or court proceedings. Limited public records have prompted modest positioning for Gwendolyn Beck at 10.8% due to prior name associations in archived correspondence, while lower odds for Ben Carson and other listed individuals track the absence of corroborating primary evidence tying them to the message. The market pricing illustrates how traders weigh the slow pace of additional Epstein file reviews against the high evidentiary bar required for definitive identification before year-end.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,373结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus places an 80.5% probability on the sender of the “I beat Bush” email remaining unidentified through 2026, reflecting the lack of new verified disclosures in Epstein-related document releases or court proceedings. Limited public records have prompted modest positioning for Gwendolyn Beck at 10.8% due to prior name associations in archived correspondence, while lower odds for Ben Carson and other listed individuals track the absence of corroborating primary evidence tying them to the message. The market pricing illustrates how traders weigh the slow pace of additional Epstein file reviews against the high evidentiary bar required for definitive identification before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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