Forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling drives the near-even split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes for Ankara’s September 16 minimum. Model consensus points to an early-morning low near 13–15°C under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds, with some runs showing clearer skies that could enhance longwave heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below. Other guidance incorporates increased mid-level moisture and possible showers, which would limit cooling and support a milder floor. Historical mid-September climatology centers on 12–14°C lows at 870 m elevation, so deviations hinge on the precise timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next model update. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against the market’s resolution on the official daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日安卡拉最低气温？
9月16日安卡拉最低气温？
11°C或以下 72%
21°C或更高 72%
17°C 38%
15°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
72%
12°C
23%
13°C
28%
14°C
24%
15°C
36%
16°C
35%
17°C
38%
18°C
35%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C或更高
72%
11°C或以下 72%
21°C或更高 72%
17°C 38%
15°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
72%
12°C
$0 交易量
23%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
36%
16°C
$0 交易量
35%
17°C
$0 交易量
38%
18°C
$0 交易量
35%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$0 交易量
5%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling drives the near-even split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes for Ankara’s September 16 minimum. Model consensus points to an early-morning low near 13–15°C under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds, with some runs showing clearer skies that could enhance longwave heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below. Other guidance incorporates increased mid-level moisture and possible showers, which would limit cooling and support a milder floor. Historical mid-September climatology centers on 12–14°C lows at 870 m elevation, so deviations hinge on the precise timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next model update. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against the market’s resolution on the official daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling drives the near-even split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes for Ankara’s September 16 minimum. Model consensus points to an early-morning low near 13–15°C under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds, with some runs showing clearer skies that could enhance longwave heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below. Other guidance incorporates increased mid-level moisture and possible showers, which would limit cooling and support a milder floor. Historical mid-September climatology centers on 12–14°C lows at 870 m elevation, so deviations hinge on the precise timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next model update. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against the market’s resolution on the official daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling drives the near-even split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes for Ankara’s September 16 minimum. Model consensus points to an early-morning low near 13–15°C under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds, with some runs showing clearer skies that could enhance longwave heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below. Other guidance incorporates increased mid-level moisture and possible showers, which would limit cooling and support a milder floor. Historical mid-September climatology centers on 12–14°C lows at 870 m elevation, so deviations hinge on the precise timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next model update. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against the market’s resolution on the official daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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