Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–31°C. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 17°C and 20°C, with traders balancing the risk of slightly stronger cooling under calm conditions against urban heat retention and potential model revisions. Stable synoptic patterns with no significant frontal passages expected in the next 24 hours support the current consensus, though small shifts in dew points or wind could alter the exact low ahead of official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日北京最低气温？
9月2日北京最低气温？
13°C or below 92%
19°C 79%
20°C 76%
18°C 58%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
13°C or below
92%
14°C
39%
15°C
57%
16°C
34%
17°C
54%
18°C
58%
19°C
79%
20°C
76%
21°C
58%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
48%
13°C or below 92%
19°C 79%
20°C 76%
18°C 58%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
13°C or below
$5 交易量
92%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$36 交易量
57%
16°C
$68 交易量
34%
17°C
$0 交易量
54%
18°C
$0 交易量
58%
19°C
$0 交易量
79%
20°C
$0 交易量
76%
21°C
$20 交易量
58%
22°C
$217 交易量
23%
23°C or higher
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–31°C. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 17°C and 20°C, with traders balancing the risk of slightly stronger cooling under calm conditions against urban heat retention and potential model revisions. Stable synoptic patterns with no significant frontal passages expected in the next 24 hours support the current consensus, though small shifts in dew points or wind could alter the exact low ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$351结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–31°C. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 17°C and 20°C, with traders balancing the risk of slightly stronger cooling under calm conditions against urban heat retention and potential model revisions. Stable synoptic patterns with no significant frontal passages expected in the next 24 hours support the current consensus, though small shifts in dew points or wind could alter the exact low ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$351结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–31°C. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 17°C and 20°C, with traders balancing the risk of slightly stronger cooling under calm conditions against urban heat retention and potential model revisions. Stable synoptic patterns with no significant frontal passages expected in the next 24 hours support the current consensus, though small shifts in dew points or wind could alter the exact low ahead of official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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