Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Beijing on September 20, driven by moderate easterly to southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold advection in a typical late-summer pattern. This produces closely balanced market-implied odds between outcomes at or below 16°C (47%) and 26°C or higher (44%), with specific values clustered around 19°C (31%) and 20°C (27.5%). Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 15–18°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日北京最低气温？
9月20日北京最低气温？
16°C或以下 84%
26°C或更高 80%
24°C 38%
22°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
84%
17°C
17%
18°C
21%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
13%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
38%
25°C
13%
26°C或更高
80%
16°C或以下 84%
26°C或更高 80%
24°C 38%
22°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
84%
17°C
$0 交易量
17%
18°C
$0 交易量
21%
19°C
$0 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$143 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
34%
23°C
$0 交易量
34%
24°C
$0 交易量
38%
25°C
$0 交易量
13%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Beijing on September 20, driven by moderate easterly to southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold advection in a typical late-summer pattern. This produces closely balanced market-implied odds between outcomes at or below 16°C (47%) and 26°C or higher (44%), with specific values clustered around 19°C (31%) and 20°C (27.5%). Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 15–18°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$143结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Beijing on September 20, driven by moderate easterly to southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold advection in a typical late-summer pattern. This produces closely balanced market-implied odds between outcomes at or below 16°C (47%) and 26°C or higher (44%), with specific values clustered around 19°C (31%) and 20°C (27.5%). Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 15–18°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$143结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Beijing on September 20, driven by moderate easterly to southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold advection in a typical late-summer pattern. This produces closely balanced market-implied odds between outcomes at or below 16°C (47%) and 26°C or higher (44%), with specific values clustered around 19°C (31%) and 20°C (27.5%). Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 15–18°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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