Recent forecast models for Wuhan show overnight lows near 23–25°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds, yet the near-even split between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher reflects notable ensemble spread in short-range guidance. Factors such as radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, residual moisture from recent rainfall, and subtle shifts in low-level advection can alter the daily minimum by several degrees. Urban heat effects in the Yangtze River valley add local uncertainty, while historical September minima average around 21°C with typical diurnal ranges of 8–10°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日武汉最低气温?
18°C或以下 100%
28°C或更高 100%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C或更高
100%
18°C或以下 100%
28°C或更高 100%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C或更高
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models for Wuhan show overnight lows near 23–25°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds, yet the near-even split between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher reflects notable ensemble spread in short-range guidance. Factors such as radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, residual moisture from recent rainfall, and subtle shifts in low-level advection can alter the daily minimum by several degrees. Urban heat effects in the Yangtze River valley add local uncertainty, while historical September minima average around 21°C with typical diurnal ranges of 8–10°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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