Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily minimum temperature for Chongqing on September 9 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, light southeast winds, and humidity around 50–70% limiting nocturnal cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This positioning underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes, as basin topography and residual summer warmth sustain elevated overnight lows compared to historical September averages near 22°C. Updated model consensus shows minimal overnight drop after daytime highs near 35–37°C, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially trimming the minimum by 1–2°C but unlikely to reach 24°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日重庆最低气温？
9月9日重庆最低气温？
27°C 43%
28°C 32%
24°C或以下 9%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
-
27°C
43%
28°C
32%
29°C
68%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 32%
24°C或以下 9%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
$60 交易量
9%
25°C
$25 交易量
9%
26°C
$353 交易量
-
27°C
$0 交易量
43%
28°C
$23 交易量
32%
29°C
$313 交易量
68%
30°C
$170 交易量
<1%
31°C
$198 交易量
<1%
32°C
$72 交易量
<1%
33°C
$294 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily minimum temperature for Chongqing on September 9 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, light southeast winds, and humidity around 50–70% limiting nocturnal cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This positioning underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes, as basin topography and residual summer warmth sustain elevated overnight lows compared to historical September averages near 22°C. Updated model consensus shows minimal overnight drop after daytime highs near 35–37°C, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially trimming the minimum by 1–2°C but unlikely to reach 24°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,722结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily minimum temperature for Chongqing on September 9 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, light southeast winds, and humidity around 50–70% limiting nocturnal cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This positioning underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes, as basin topography and residual summer warmth sustain elevated overnight lows compared to historical September averages near 22°C. Updated model consensus shows minimal overnight drop after daytime highs near 35–37°C, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially trimming the minimum by 1–2°C but unlikely to reach 24°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,722结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily minimum temperature for Chongqing on September 9 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, light southeast winds, and humidity around 50–70% limiting nocturnal cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This positioning underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes, as basin topography and residual summer warmth sustain elevated overnight lows compared to historical September averages near 22°C. Updated model consensus shows minimal overnight drop after daytime highs near 35–37°C, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially trimming the minimum by 1–2°C but unlikely to reach 24°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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