Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日赫尔辛基最低气温?
10°C 48%
8°C 24%
9°C 22%
6°C <1%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
24%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
60%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 48%
8°C 24%
9°C 22%
6°C <1%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
24%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
60%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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